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Heavy to torrential rains are expected in the southeast and Yucatan Peninsula

- June 7, 2024

The National Water Commission (Conagua) of Mexico forecasts intense to torrential rains in the southeast and the Yucatán Peninsula for this Friday, June 7, 2024. Low-pressure channels will dominate the country, extending over the north, center, and south of the national territory, as well as in the southeast and over the Yucatán Peninsula. Additionally, instability at high atmospheric levels and moisture from the monsoon trough towards the Mexican South Pacific coast, along with a low-pressure system off the western coast of Baja California Sur, will contribute to this weather pattern.

These systems are expected to cause torrential rains in Chiapas and Tabasco; intense rains in Oaxaca, Campeche, and Yucatán; very strong rains in Quintana Roo; and strong rains in Chihuahua, Coahuila, Nuevo León, Durango, Zacatecas, Jalisco, and southern Veracruz. Such rains may lead to flooding, landslides, and an increase in river and stream levels. Showers are also forecasted for areas in the northwest and west of Mexico, including the State of Mexico.

Winds with gusts of 60 to 80 km/h and possible whirlwinds are expected in Chihuahua and Coahuila; gusts of 50 to 70 km/h and possible whirlwinds in Durango, Zacatecas, and Jalisco; and dust storms in Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí, Aguascalientes, and Guanajuato. Gusts of 40 to 60 km/h are predicted for the Yucatán Peninsula, with possible dust storms in states of the northwest, center, west, south, and southeast of Mexico. The country will continue to experience a hot to very hot environment, with maximum temperatures exceeding 40°C in 18 states.

Rainfall forecast for this Friday includes:

– Intense rains with torrential points (150 to 250 mm): Chiapas and Tabasco.

– Very strong rains with intense points (75 to 150 mm): Oaxaca, Campeche, and Yucatán.

– Strong rains with very strong points (50 to 75 mm): Quintana Roo.

– Showers with strong points (25 to 50 mm): Chihuahua, Coahuila, Nuevo León, Durango, Zacatecas, Jalisco, and southern Veracruz.

– Showers (5 to 25 mm): Sonora, Sinaloa, Aguascalientes, Nayarit, Colima, Michoacán, and the State of Mexico.

– Isolated rains (0.1 to 5 mm): Baja California, Baja California Sur, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí, Guanajuato, Querétaro, Hidalgo, Puebla, Mexico City, Morelos, and Guerrero.

The strong to torrential rains could cause flooding and landslides, as well as an increase in river and stream levels. Strong to very strong wind gusts could cause trees and billboards to fall. Elevated temperatures could lead to health problems.

Maximum temperature forecast:

– Temperatures above 45°C: Baja California and Sonora.

– Temperatures from 40 to 45°C: Baja California Sur, Chihuahua, Coahuila, Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí, Sinaloa, Nayarit, Jalisco, Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca, Veracruz, Tabasco, Campeche, and Yucatán.

– Temperatures from 35 to 40°C: Durango, Colima, Guanajuato, northern Querétaro, northern Hidalgo, northern and southwestern Puebla, Morelos, Chiapas, and Quintana Roo.

– Temperatures from 30 to 35°C: Zacatecas, Aguascalientes, southwestern State of Mexico, and Mexico City.

Minimum temperature forecast:

– Temperatures from 0 to 5°C: Chihuahua and Durango.

Wind forecast:

– Winds with gusts of 60 to 80 km/h and possible whirlwinds: Chihuahua and Coahuila.

– Winds with gusts of 50 to 70 km/h and possible whirlwinds: Durango, Zacatecas, and Jalisco; and with dust storms: Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí, Aguascalientes, and Guanajuato.

– Winds with gusts of 40 to 60 km/h: Campeche, Yucatán, and Quintana Roo; with possible dust storms: Baja California, Baja California Sur, Sonora, Sinaloa, Querétaro, Hidalgo, Puebla, Tlaxcala, State of Mexico, Mexico City, Morelos, Nayarit, Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca, Veracruz, Chiapas, and Tabasco.

Source: Quadratin