The disturbance with a high chance of turning into a tropical depression this week is a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands in the eastern Atlantic early Monday and is far away from the Yucatan Peninsula.
The National Hurricane Center, in an advisory at 2 p.m. Monday, upped the system’s formation chances from 50% to 60% through the next 48 hours. The system, colored red in the hurricane center’s map, has a 70% chance of formation through the next five days. However, forecasters note that conditions will become less likely for development later this week due to increasing upper-level winds.
The hurricane center projects the system will “move west-northwestward and then turn northwestward by mid-week over the eastern tropical Atlantic.”
At this point, it’s unlikely to affect Florida.
Disturbance No. 2
The other disturbance forecasters are watching is several hundred miles east of the southern Windward Islands. The system, which is colored yellow on the map, is forecast to quickly move west and reach the Windward Islands and the eastern Caribbean Sea by midweek.
Forecasters say the system hasn’t changed much in the past few hours and no longer think conditions are good enough for it to turn into a tropical depression. The hurricane center at 2 p.m. lowered its formation chances from 30% to 20% through the next 48 hours and from 40% to 30% through the next five days.
What’s the next storm name?
Julia is the next storm name on the list for the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season.